A soft and pensive voice says, "I think that most of us feel that something bad is coming our way."
The voice is that of a 13-year-old girl in the short film Sand Castle (embedded below) talking about the realities of the dire situation we face as a society today due to Climate Change. It is a stark video that is also somehow cathartic. Speaking the truth - or even hearing it spoken from the mouth of a child - has a way of allowing some sort of release, a letting go, an acceptance.
"Wildlife is disappearing. Forests burn. Ice is melting. Trash is everywhere. We caused it and everyone suffers, including us," she says.
She then proceeds to ask some of the most important questions any of us will ever face. "Is this how our civilization will end?" "What will our lives be like?" "Will we have to survive disasters? Wars? Disease? Starvation?"
These are tough questions and ones not many people eagerly ask, in part because meaningful answers are elusive. No one can predict the future. But ask the questions we must because one thing is becoming increasingly clear: in our lifetimes human society is going to need to dramatically evolve if we are going to survive on this planet. A large and growing number of people already understand this. Yet people avoid doing anything to change it, because, as the girl in Sand Castle says, everyone feels too small and too weak.
An admittedly unscientific poll we conducted tells us something about how many people believe this to be true. We asked our Nextdoor.com community to respond to a simple question. We asked, "Which of the following statements best describes your overall belief about climate change?"
The responses were both eye-opening. Nearly 90% of survey respondents said they believe that Climate Change is real and that the collapse it is causing has already begun.
Our simple neighborhood poll is consistent with much larger national polls that all show public opinion about Climate Change has shifted dramatically in the last year, even in communities like ours that have been relatively insulated from the extreme climate events that have occurred elsewhere. That being said, those of us who pay attention to what is going on in the natural world here have already noticed a dramatic decline in overall insect populations. We see animal species living around our homes that didn't used to live this far north. We also find that predicting the year's gardening season is becoming increasingly difficult as temperatures, moisture levels, storm intensity and other factors have become increasingly volatile.
Science tells us that Climate Change is here and if we are paying any attention at all, we are already seeing it happening.
In other parts of the world, things are already getting really bad. Large scale migrations of people are taking place as people face droughts, heatwaves and deforestation at record levels. Others face floods, fires and monster storms that are appearing across the globe at scales not seen during recorded history. As news of these events - which scientists are increasingly connecting to Climate Change - get broader coverage, it is unsurprising that growing numbers of people - even in our (so far) insulated communities - are coming to understand that Climate Change is not some distant future scenario. Science and today's daily reality say that it is here. It is now. And, it is getting worse.
The most up-to-date science also says that the worst case scenarios previously predicted by climate models have been too optimistic, that it is coming harder and faster than most anyone imagined and it is made even more complicated by other highly complex issues, like human overpopulation and our addiction to excessive consumption, which is fueled in part by our lifestyles that are utterly disconnected from nature.
So disconnected are we from it all that even though we know that the burning of fossil fuels is the primary cause of Climate Change, we continue to drive gas-gobbling SUVs while our government pays subsidies to fossil fuel companies. These and other facts have caused a growing number of people to conclude that we have already passed the critical tipping point of Climate Change such that avoiding a total collapse of society as we know it is no longer possible.
A paper written by Professor Jem Bendell titled Deep Adaptation: A Map for Navigating Climate Tragedy has gone viral since it was published in July of 2018. It is based entirely on the premise that a near term collapse of society is inevitable. To quote from the paper:
The approach of the paper is to [analyze] recent studies on climate change and its implications for our ecosystems, economies and societies, as provided by academic journals and publications direct from research institutes.
That synthesis leads to a conclusion there will be a near-term collapse in society with serious ramifications for the lives of readers.
We (George and Mike from Our Urban Farms) first realized the the systemic nature of this issue decades ago. We periodically recall one specific insight we had in 1989. We were in a tent in Seward, Alaska, where we had gone in the wake of the Exxon Valdez oil spill. We were helping to care for rescued Sea Otters that had been brought to the Sea Otter Rescue Center.
After a long shift at the Otter Center, we were eating dinner in one of our tents with a friend of ours who had traveled to Alaska with us. We were all feeling particularly angry. The public perception of the oil spill response bore little resemblance to the realities we were observing boots on the ground. We had learned, for example, that the Sea Otter Rescue Center itself was less of a "rescue center" than it was a "research operation" and the research being conducted meant that 50% of the otters were not being washed, including mother otters who had given birth to the first baby Alaska Sea Otters to ever be born in captivity.
Those of us caring for the otters were not supposed to know that otters were not being washed, much less which otters were unwashed. But, it was not hard to tell. When we would approached a pool of unwashed otters we could see an oil slick on the water and smell the crude oil in the air. Said another way: we soon realized tiny newborn sea otters were being forced to ingest crude oil that was intentionally left on their mothers' fur in the name of "research" at the Sea Otter "rescue" center.
Sitting in our t